Difference between retracement and reversal:
Retracement:
It is temporary price reversal which occurs within large
trend. The price reversal is temporary not permanent. It does not indicate change of
large trend .
Characters of retracement:
- · Occurs after a large trend
- · Occurs in small blocks
- · Lasting not more than 2 weeks(1/2 weeks)
- · Candlesticks shows long tops or bottoms or spinning tops(indecision candle)
Determining the scope of retracement:
Some tools are used to determine the scope of retracement
- 1. Fibbonacci retracement
- 2. Pivot point for support and resistance
- 3. Trend line support and resistance
- Divergence
1.Fibbonacci retracement:
It is excellent tools for determining the scope of retracement. Most widely used in currency
and commodities , share and stocks market .In most of the case retracement will
be 38.2% in daily and 50% intraday market movement. If price moves below this
point reversal is coming.
2, Pivot point for support and resistance level:
Most commonly used in trading , most traders look for R1,R2,R3
or S1,S2,S3 for resistance and support level, If price breaks these up coming reversal
is coming.
3,Trend line support
and resistance:
On trading there are three type trend line , short term
trend line, Intermediate trend line and long term trend line, if price
breaks long term trend line , the
upcoming reversal, Such as example… in day trading trend line is drawn on 1hrs
chart , trading is done on 15 min chart , so if price breaks trend line of 1hrs time frame upcoming reversal for day trader.
As trend is relative matter of time , so trader should be
drawn trend line on the pattern of their trading.
4. Divergence
Characters of reversal:
- · Occurs in large block trades.
- · Several chart pattern occurs double tops, double bottoms, head and shoulder, inverse head and shoulder,
- · Long term reversal lasting couple of weeks
- · Reversal candlesticks forms
How to minimize the risk:
Use stop loss to minimize the risk
·
Estimate the retracement level and put stop loss
just below the retracement level.
·
Use Stop loss just below long term trend line or
Moving average
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